The second part of a wider analysis of results across the country takes a look at the spread of votes,
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LE22: How’s Your Spread? (Part 1)
The first half of a detailed look at each party’s performance across the country measures the presence of the five Holyrood parties in terms of wards and councils with representation.
LE22: The Headline Results
This year’s local elections delivered a lukewarm result for the SNP, whilst Labour reclaimed second place from a beleaguered Conservative party. The Lib Dems also made solid gains, and the Greens delivered an expectation-busting record result.
Poll Analysis: ComRes 26th of April – 3rd of May 2022
On the eve of local elections, the Conservatives’ worst poll since last year’s Holyrood ballot doesn’t bode well for Douglas Ross. Labour show their strongest second place in recent months, whilst Greens return to a record high. The Lib Dems reach their highest list vote of the term, contrasting with the SNP’s lowest.
LE22: The Mysterious Case of the Evaporating Independents
With only half as many candidates as the peak in 2012, and only 60% of incumbents re-standing, what on earth is happening to Scotland’s Independent councillors?
LE22 Party Profile: Scottish Green Party
Slow and steady growth is likely to be the order of the day for the Greens, whose prospects of building on last year’s record result at Holyrood are limited by a somewhat less proportional voting system.
LE22 Party Profile: Scottish Liberal Democrats
It’s been a dire decade for the (Liberal) Democrats, and last year’s Holyrood result raised the spectre of continuing woes. A slight improvement in polling however, combined with weakened Conservatives, might offer a chance for stabilisation or even regrowth.
Poll Analysis: BMG 25th – 31st of March 2022
A third pollster in a row suggests Labour are more popular than the Conservatives, whilst finding the worst SNP figures yet since last year’s election. As has been the norm lately, the balance on the constitutional question continues to tilt in the Union’s favour.
LE22 Party Profile: Scottish Labour
Labour’s number of candidates and wards contested are at their lowest level since STV was introduced, but they may nonetheless be in a position to once again become Scotland’s second party at local government level.
LE22 Party Profile: Scottish Conservatives
The Conservatives had a record result in 2017 – so good they hadn’t stood enough candidates to fully benefit. They aren’t making that mistake again, but nonetheless face the credible prospect of slipping back into third place.
