“The Isle of Mists” indeed: it’s hard to get a clear view of what might happen here, with all of the SNP, Lib Dems and Independents potentially in the running.
Highland
By-Election Preview: Cromarty Firth (Highland) 19th of June 2025
A relatively quick return to a ward that voted last year looks set to be a contest between the Lib Dems and two popular Independents to pick up the seat.
By-Election Result: Fort William and Ardnamurchan (2024)
An absolutely stonking Lib Dem victory hands them a seat without the need to pick up a single transfer, albeit their “Conservative-turned Independent-turned Lib Dem” candidate may have been pitch-perfect to pick up votes everywhere at a by-election.
By-Election Preview: Fort William and Ardnamurchan (Highland) 21st of November 2024
In Highland, you always need to consider Independents and personal votes. Well, this time the Lib Dems are standing a former Independent who had a clear popular vote, so they’ve probably landed the win already.
By-Election Result: Inverness Central 2024
Labour manage to squeeze out a last-round win over the SNP, as bad blood between the Pro-Independence parties costs the SNP too much Green support to hold on.
By-Election Result: Cromarty Firth
A rare double vacancy saw a messy scrap for the seats with the Lib Dems and an Independent eventually emerging victorious. Meanwhile, might Reform UK have learned that Scotland is different to England?
By-Election Preview: Cromarty Firth (Highland) 26th of September 2024
A rare double vacancy with a lengthy ballot paper is likely to see the Lib Dems, Independents and SNP scrapping for the two seats available. Reform UK continue to try to get serious about Scotland, but make a bit of a ham of it by standing two candidates, not realising how the voting system works.
By-Election Result: Tain and Easter Ross (2024)
The sad passing of a popular local Independent couldn’t give any other result except the election of a new Independent, but some recovery compared to last year made this a rare bright spot for the SNP lately.
By-Election Preview: Tain and Easter Ross (Highland) 13th of June 2024
The sad passing of a popular local Independent with a near quarter-century of service under his belt seems likely to go to another Independent, though failing that, it would be the Lib Dems.
By-Election Result: Inverness South
What was pegged as the SNP’s best bet at a by-election win for a long time ends in tears, with an excruciatingly poor first preference tally, leaving an Independent and the Lib Dems to fight it out for the seat.
