Another poll showing Labour losing ground compared to the summer, with corresponding shoots of growth for the political right, and the big constitutional question still sitting too close for anybody’s comfort.
Independence
Poll Analysis: Norstat 30th of October – 1st of November 2024
Labour’s rocky start in Downing Street continues with some steep declines in this poll, putting the SNP comfortably ahead of them on all votes, whilst the constitutional question returns a straight tie.
Poll Analysis: Survation 10th – 13th of September 2024
A second Survation poll in as many weeks, but commissioned by a firm on the other side of the constitutional aisle to the last, should put the “polling only says what the people paying for it want!” gang’s gas at a peep.
Poll Analysis: Opinium 5th -11th of September 2024
A bombshell poll from infrequent pollsters Opinium giving the SNP a much healthier lead than would be expected under current circumstances, and Reform UK the status as third party, doesn’t pass the smell test in my view.
Long Read: A Decade on from the IndyRef, Challenges Abound for Everyone
Ten years after the referendum that changed Scotland, BBS takes a look at the polling over that time, as well as thoughts on the challenges ahead for both camps.
Poll Analysis: Norstat 20th – 22nd of August 2024
The first Scotland-only poll since the UK election shows big gains for Reform UK and suggests an extremely difficult landscape to navigate at Holyrood, though a house effect is likely exaggerating Alba support.
Poll Analysis (Lite): Savanta 28th of June – 2nd of July 2024
This is a lite analysis piece to ensure there is a record of this poll within the BBS archive, but without the full attention usually given to individual polls due to time pressures before the General Election.
Poll Analysis (Lite): Norstat 24th – 26th of June 2024
This is a lite analysis piece to ensure there is a record of this poll within the BBS archive, but without the full attention usually given to individual polls due to time pressures before the General Election.
Poll Analysis (Lite): Savanta 21st – 25th of June 2024
This is a lite analysis piece to ensure there is a record of this poll within the BBS archive, but without the full attention usually given to individual polls due to time pressures before the General Election.
Poll Analysis (Lite): YouGov 20th – 25th of June 2024
This is a lite analysis piece to ensure there is a record of this poll within the BBS archive, but without the full attention usually given to individual polls due to time pressures before the General Election.