As we hurtle towards polling day for the UK General Election, the Scottish polls are coming thick and fast. Even though I only do these full analysis pieces for polls with the full suite of Holyrood, Westminster and Independence numbers, which not all of these polls have had, there have still been a lot.
A large amount of my time was taken up by my own Survation poll (part 1 and part 2 here), and there were then three other polls with overlapping fieldwork. I simply do not have the time to give each of these full analysis, and therefore all but my own have gotten these “Lite” analysis entries, which ensures the headline figures are tracked on an entry on the BBS website without requiring me to spend the hours necessary for full analysis.
The previous Norstat covered the 11th – 14th of June 2024. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election).
Westminster Voting Intention (Tracker)
Votes
Seats
Regional Vote
Constituency Vote
Seat Projection
Projecting that into seats might give us something like this:
Please see this page for how projections work and important caveats.
Hypotheticals
Scandinavian Style Westminster
If you find this or other Ballot Box Scotland output useful and/or interesting, and you can afford to do so, please consider donating to support my work. I love doing this, but it’s a one-man project and takes a lot of time and effort. All donations, no matter how small, are greatly appreciated and extremely helpful.
(About Donations)