Savanta

This is a lite analysis piece to ensure there is a record of this poll within the BBS archive, but without the full attention usually given to individual polls due to time pressures before the General Election.

This is a lite analysis piece to ensure there is a record of this poll within the BBS archive, but without the full attention usually given to individual polls due to time pressures before the General Election.

After the previous poll was pretty dire for the SNP, this one has them back in the lead at Holyrood by a wafer-thin margin. Labour meanwhile maintain a clear lead at Westminster, yet Independence remains nearly tied.

The second Savanta poll in the space of a few weeks offers a Weird Burger, with some odd Holyrood numbers sandwiched between no change on the Westminster and Independence figures.

The worst poll since the Independence referendum for the SNP is the best for Labour, but the constitutional question itself remains significantly less volatile.

The first fully post-Rutherglen poll has everything – Holyrood, Westminster and the Constitution – on an absolute knife edge, though in seat terms both parliaments would be headed for a significant Pro-Union parties majority.

Another poor poll for the SNP has them tied on the list vote with Labour, whilst the Greens and Lib Dems seemingly bounce back from a minor party squeeze. Despite the SNP’s troubles, the constitutional question is a near tie, with slight advantage to the Union.

A second poll showing significant gains for Labour, and indeed the best poll for any opposition party since before the independence referendum, brings further bad news for the new First Minister. Yet, again, Independence support remains steady albeit still in a slight minority.

The first of two polls with identical fieldwork conducted right after the First Minister announced her resignation shows very little change for the SNP, but enough growth from Labour to knock the SNP down to their joint-worst seat projection of the term, whilst the Greens have their best.

One final (hopefully) poll for 2022 bucks recent trends, giving a lead for the Union on the constitutional question and far less pain for the Conservatives than other pollsters.