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Survation

Poll Analysis: Survation 17th – 23rd of April 2026
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 17th – 23rd of April 2026

Overlapping with the BBS poll, a second Survation paints a slightly better picture for the SNP and Greens, versus a poorer Conservative and Reform seat tally. Beware the margin of error though!

by Ballot Box Scotland•April 28, 2026April 27, 2026
BBS Exclusive Poll Analysis: Survation 14th – 21st of April 2026
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  • Polling and Projections

BBS Exclusive Poll Analysis: Survation 14th – 21st of April 2026

This BBS-commissioned poll is surprisingly poor for the SNP, but still has a small Pro-Independence majority. Nonetheless, John Swinney will be hoping this is an outlier.

by Ballot Box Scotland•April 23, 2026April 26, 2026
Poll Analysis: Survation 16th – 23rd of March 2026
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 16th – 23rd of March 2026

A shockingly quiet period for polling despite the looming election is finally broken with a very much “as you were” feeling: the SNP on track to win, Labour and Reform scrapping for second, and possibly improved Greens.

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 31, 2026April 26, 2026
Poll Analysis: Survation 20th – 25th of February 2026
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 20th – 25th of February 2026

The SNP remain out in front whilst Labour and Reform vie for second place, and Survation’s typically low Green streak continues.

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 9, 2026April 26, 2026
Poll Analysis: Survation 8th – 12th of January 2026
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 8th – 12th of January 2026

A poll showing relatively little difference over a few months will be reassuring for the SNP, whilst Labour remain trapped in a close fight with Reform for a distant second place.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 18, 2026April 26, 2026
Poll Analysis: Survation 22nd of September – 14th of October 2025
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 22nd of September – 14th of October 2025

Reform’s best ever poll in vote terms doesn’t quite get there in seats as a splintered vote continues to allow the SNP to exert intense pressure on proportionality.

by Ballot Box Scotland•October 28, 2025October 28, 2025
Poll Analysis: Survation 4th – 16th of September 2025
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 4th – 16th of September 2025

Labour’s diabolically bad polling pairs with further modest SNP recovery to keep the current Government in place, despite still losing a huge chunk of support compared to 2021, whilst Reform slip a little compared to the previous dramatic Survation.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 25, 2025October 28, 2025
Poll Analysis: Survation 2nd – 5th of May 2025
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 2nd – 5th of May 2025

A shock poll puts Reform UK in second for the first time, but we desperately need additional polling before drawing firm conclusions.

by Ballot Box Scotland•May 9, 2025September 25, 2025
Poll Analysis: Survation 16th – 22nd of April 2025
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 16th – 22nd of April 2025

Labour continue to suffer the effects of the SNP’s constituency dominance, with the suggestion of a Pro-Independence majority at Holyrood. Meanwhile, Reform UK slide back down from an outlier last poll.

by Ballot Box Scotland•May 4, 2025May 4, 2025
Poll Analysis: Survation 6th – 13th of March 2025
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 6th – 13th of March 2025

The SNP continue to hold a substantial lead over Labour but the lack of a Pro-Independence majority and Reform polling their best yet makes for a challenging landscape.

by Ballot Box Scotland•March 20, 2025March 20, 2025

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    By-Election Result: Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

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    By-Election Result analysis: Aberdeen South

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    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (Westminster) by-election result:

    SNP: 9802 (41.2%, +5.9)
    Conservative: 4524 (19%, +3.5)
    Reform UK: 4341 (18.3%, +9.6)
    Labour: 3651 (15.4%, -18)
    Lib Dem: 1452 (6.1%, +1)

    SNP HOLD
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