Labour’s best poll by every measure since the Independence referendum will be unwelcome reading for the SNP, whilst the Conservatives suffer their own mid-term blues as the pollster takes a flight of fancy with Reform UK. […]
If you were expecting the bad polling news to continue for the SNP, you would be correct. Labour continue to inch closer to first place on all votes, whilst Independence support also takes a slight dip. […]
After initially holding out an expectation the SNP-Green government would retain its majority, Survation aligns with the bulk of pollsters in suggesting a Pro-Union majority at Holyrood instead. The constitution nonetheless remains a nearly even split, with advantage to the Union. […]
The fourth poll to emerge after Humza Yousaf takes office is the only one that’ll bring him any cheer, suggesting an easy continuation for the current SNP-Green government. Though that’s an outlier for Holyrood, Westminster and Independence figures align closely with other pollsters. […]
Further sliding for the SNP and weak figures for Greens suggest one of the narrowest leads for their government of the term so far, whilst Labour continue to poll strongly relative to recent results, and the constitutional question resets to 2014. […]
A second poll with identical fieldwork immediately following Sturgeon’s resignation finds, perhaps oddly, the SNP up and Greens down, whilst Labour continue to poll their strongest in years on the list vote. […]
The earliest of three polls that all dropped within hours, a term-worst projection for the SNP is counterbalanced by Green gains, whilst Labour begin to close in on constituencies and the constitutional question remains stalemated. […]
The second poll by the same pollster in quick succession finds very little different on election VI – but gives the largest lead for the Union in eight months. […]
The first poll of 2023 (okay, mostly 2022, but it ended this year…) finds very little change compared to the previous, though with enough of a small Conservative recovery to draw clearly back ahead of the Greens. […]
As is tradition, we wait for two weeks of intense, dramatic UK political events before we get any Scotland-only polls, and three come along at once. The first of these to finish fieldwork finds hands down the strongest Labour figures since before the 2015 General Election, and Greens tied on seats with the Conservatives. […]
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