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Survation

Poll Analysis: Survation 7th – 13th of January 2025
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 7th – 13th of January 2025

Another dire poll for Labour suggests Anas Sarwar will struggle to make it into Bute House, whilst Reform continue to surge, and a rebuke to the idea of Alba suddenly gaining.

by Ballot Box Scotland•January 16, 2025January 16, 2025
Poll Analysis: Survation 1st – 15th of November 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 1st – 15th of November 2024

Another poll showing Labour losing ground compared to the summer, with corresponding shoots of growth for the political right, and the big constitutional question still sitting too close for anybody’s comfort.

by Ballot Box Scotland•November 26, 2024November 26, 2024
Poll Analysis: Survation 10th – 13th of September 2024
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 10th – 13th of September 2024

A second Survation poll in as many weeks, but commissioned by a firm on the other side of the constitutional aisle to the last, should put the “polling only says what the people paying for it want!” gang’s gas at a peep.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 22, 2024September 22, 2024
Poll Analysis: Survation 27th – 29th of August 2024
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  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 27th – 29th of August 2024

The second poll since the General Election suggests that the three big parties are set to suffer at Holyrood, including the worst figures for Conservatives this term, whilst the three smaller parties (including new-ish kids on the block Reform UK) make significant gains.

by Ballot Box Scotland•September 12, 2024September 11, 2024
BBS EXCLUSIVE Poll Analysis: Survation 21st – 25th of June 2024 (Constitutional Questions)
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  • Polling and Projections

BBS EXCLUSIVE Poll Analysis: Survation 21st – 25th of June 2024 (Constitutional Questions)

Scotland’s been stuck in a constitutional binary since 2014, but is it really that simple? From asking voters about it in a range of different ways, the answer sort of is… yes? It is? Labour may be on track to win big, but their stated position of more powers is easily the least popular constitutional outcome.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 27, 2024June 4, 2025
BBS EXCLUSIVE Poll Analysis: Survation 21st – 25th of June 2024
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  • Polling and Projections

BBS EXCLUSIVE Poll Analysis: Survation 21st – 25th of June 2024

With just one week left to go until the General Election, Labour are on track to win big at Westminster for the first time in nearly 15 years, whilst Reform UK eat into the Conservative vote. Meanwhile, Ballot Box Scotland positions on democratic reform are completely and utterly vindicated, with overwhelming public support.

by Ballot Box Scotland•June 26, 2024June 28, 2024
Poll Analysis: Survation 23rd – 27th of May 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 23rd – 27th of May 2024

The first full Scotland-only poll of the general election campaign will put even more of a spring in Scottish Labour’s step, but this isn’t the start John Swinney will have wanted to his time as First Minister.

by Ballot Box Scotland•May 29, 2024June 26, 2024
Poll Analysis: Survation 23rd – 25th of January 2024
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 23rd – 25th of January 2024

A second January poll covering the same dates gives almost identical results, though with the strongest Labour seat projection since BBS was launched in 2018.

by Ballot Box Scotland•February 3, 2024February 3, 2024
Poll Analysis: Survation 15th – 18th of August 2023
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 15th – 18th of August 2023

Labour’s best poll by every measure since the Independence referendum will be unwelcome reading for the SNP, whilst the Conservatives suffer their own mid-term blues as the pollster takes a flight of fancy with Reform UK.

by Ballot Box Scotland•August 24, 2023August 24, 2023
Poll Analysis: Survation 23rd – 28th of June 2023
Posted in
  • Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 23rd – 28th of June 2023

If you were expecting the bad polling news to continue for the SNP, you would be correct. Labour continue to inch closer to first place on all votes, whilst Independence support also takes a slight dip.

by Ballot Box Scotland•July 5, 2023July 5, 2023

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    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 2 days

    For many LGBT folk like me, and especially trans folk, Keir Starmer will be remembered in the same way as Margaret Thatcher: with deep contempt for having overseen a deeply hostile, queerphobic government, which rolled back human rights and set society back by at least a decade.

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    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 2 days

    By-Election Result: Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

    The least exciting of the three by-elections that took place on Thursday, from a Scottish perspective it's the one closest to (but still not actually) a useful national barometer.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 4 days

    By-Election Result analysis: Aberdeen South

    A high profile move from Westminster to Holyrood leads to an absolutely huge loss for the SNP, as the Conservatives play a blinder of a tactical campaign.
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    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    As Conservative candidate and now MP, Douglas Lumsden, is also an MSP for the North East, he will have to resign from Holyrood within 49 days. That will bring in James Adams as his party replacement, as the only new Conservative MSP. This will also make Holyrood majority (65) new vs returning MSPs.
  • View post by Ballot Box Scotland on Bluesky

    Ballot Box Scotland @ballotbox.scot 5 days

    Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (Westminster) by-election result:

    SNP: 9802 (41.2%, +5.9)
    Conservative: 4524 (19%, +3.5)
    Reform UK: 4341 (18.3%, +9.6)
    Labour: 3651 (15.4%, -18)
    Lib Dem: 1452 (6.1%, +1)

    SNP HOLD

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