The first entry in the Ballot Box Battlegrounds series for this election covers East Renfrewshire; Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk; Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber; and Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale. […]
Some effects unique to Norstat and the fever of a UK general election campaign makes the Holyrood side of this poll extremely messy. Meanwhile, Labour hold a clear lead for that upcoming election, but it appears everyone’s support has plateaued. […]
This is a lite analysis piece to ensure a poll with delayed publication at a busy time before an election isn’t ignored entirely, but also doesn’t take up time that would be better spent working on other things. […]
Tactical voting is always in vogue when Westminster elections roll around, but the phenomenon is poorly understood. Lazy assumptions in Scotland think the Pro-Union parties a coherent bloc, yet only Conservative voters truly think that way, with potentially significant consequences at this election. […]
Not only have recent polls put Labour ahead of the SNP for the first time since the 2014 Independence Referendum, seat projections suggest a modest advantage in votes may translate to an enormous lead in seats. What’s going on? […]
The second Savanta poll in the space of a few weeks offers a Weird Burger, with some odd Holyrood numbers sandwiched between no change on the Westminster and Independence figures. […]
The first full Scotland-only poll of the general election campaign will put even more of a spring in Scottish Labour’s step, but this isn’t the start John Swinney will have wanted to his time as First Minister. […]
What is overall the best poll since BBS was established for Scottish Labour makes for grim reading for the SNP and Conservatives, whilst the Greens continue to vastly outperform against consistently flawed analysis of the party’s support base. […]
The worst poll since the Independence referendum for the SNP is the best for Labour, but the constitutional question itself remains significantly less volatile. […]
The first poll following Humza Yousaf’s resignation as First Minister makes for grim reading for his successor. A buoyant Labour Party seems reasonable, but some oddities here with Reform UK and Alba shares. […]
Copyright © Allan Faulds (Ballot Box Scotland) 2022