Labour continue to struggle to pick up transfers from a surging Reform UK, allowing the SNP to narrowly squeak a win in a ward Labour easily won an earlier by-election in.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
By-Election Result: Kilmarnock North
Background This week’s by-election gave us a relatively rapid return to East Ayrshire, and to Kilmarnock … By-Election Result: Kilmarnock NorthRead more
Poll Analysis: Norstat 11th – 14th of February 2025
Scottish polling continues to show Labour sliding – and frankly, given their behaviour this week, I am breaking convention to say “good, serves them right.”
By-Election Result: Kirkintilloch East, North and Twechar
Labour manage a better result than most recent trends, largely staying static whilst the SNP vote collapsed. (Sorry for delay, data was not forthcoming. How annoying.)
By-Election Preview: Southside Central (Glasgow) 20th of March 2025
A potentially knife-edge contest between Labour and the SNP sees the latter making a play to get a prominent councillor who lost their seat in 2022 back in the chamber.
By-Election Preview: North East (Glasgow) 20th of March 2025
A re-run arising from a fumbled – and thus disqualifying – resignation of November’s winner may be a harder victory for Labour this time around.
By-Election Preview: Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh (West Lothian) 13th of March 2025
A return to a ward Labour already won a by-election in looks a much tougher win for them in the current climate, especially given Reform’s continued presence.
Long Read: A Plea for Plausible Polling
Recent FindOutNow polling has been obvious bollocks. Scotland doesn’t get enough polling that we can afford to have complete rubbish distorting our discourse.
By-Election Result: Bannockburn
Labour go fully into reverse, resulting in the first genuine SNP gain in a very long time, and surely calling time on a local administration now consisting of just 4 members.
By-Election Result: Colinton and Fairmilehead (2025)
An absolutely disastrous, yet perhaps well deserved, drubbing for the Lib Dems in bizarre circumstances, but don’t let that disguise a grim result for Labour too.