A shock poll puts Reform UK in second for the first time, but we desperately need additional polling before drawing firm conclusions.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Long Read: With one year to go, where do Scotland’s parties stand?
As the 2021 Parliament enters its final stretch, the same may not necessarily be true of the SNP Government. Labour continue to struggle, whilst Reform may displace the Conservatives.
Poll Analysis: Survation 16th – 22nd of April 2025
Labour continue to suffer the effects of the SNP’s constituency dominance, with the suggestion of a Pro-Independence majority at Holyrood. Meanwhile, Reform UK slide back down from an outlier last poll.
By-Election Preview: Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse (Scottish Parliament) 5th of June 2025
A by-election nobody wanted to arise is an absolutely must-win contest for Labour but not for the SNP: they’ve won without Hamilton before, and could again.
By-Election Result: Glenrothes Central and Thornton
The SNP manage an easy win against a collapsing Labour party that, given its complete capitulation in the face of a hate campaign targeting a minority, deserves to lose hard at the moment.
By-Election Preview: Clydebank Waterfront (West Dunbartonshire) 15th of May 2025
Capping off complete coverage of Clydebank over one year, changed circumstances make the prospect of a Labour hat trick look rather remote.
By-Election Result: North East (Glasgow) 2025
A bizarre Labour blunder opened the door for the SNP to hand them their worst Scottish defeat since July’s general election.
By-Election Result: Southside Central
In a poor day for Glasgow Labour, the SNP improve on their 2022 position after transfers, whilst the Greens reverse a recent trend of slipping in their core city wards.
By-Election Preview: Glenrothes Central and Thornton (Fife) 24th of April 2025
A vacancy arising from the sad passing of an SNP stalwart looks likely to be a comfortable SNP victory.
Poll Analysis: Survation 6th – 13th of March 2025
The SNP continue to hold a substantial lead over Labour but the lack of a Pro-Independence majority and Reform polling their best yet makes for a challenging landscape.