A truly catastrophic poll for the Conservatives, and a perhaps overcooked record set of figures for the Greens, whilst the SNP’s constituency advantage continues to give them far more than their fare share.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
By-Election Result: Fountainbridge and Craiglockhart
Another big victory for the Edinburgh Lib Dem by-election machine nonetheless contains some good news for Labour and the Greens, whilst the SNP and Conservatives would lose their seats if all 3 were up.
By-Election Result: Eilean a’ Cheò (2025)
Skye loves an Independent and this by-election was no different, though the victor saw a strong Lib Dem challenge.
By-Election Result: Cromarty Firth (2025)
A typically strong showing for Highland Independents leads one to victory over a slightly rebounding, but not fully recovered SNP, whilst the Lib Dems experience a surprising slide and we see how far Reform have come in the past 9 months.
By-Election Result: Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse
Everyone wanted this by-election to be a dramatic turning point for the 2026 election. Under the hood though, all we got was confirmation current polling is pretty much accurate.
Poll Analysis: Norstat 27th – 30th of May 2025
Polling continues to show a bruised Labour allowing the SNP an unjustifiably easy path to victory, whilst Reform make further gains and support for Independence seems to squeak into the majority.
By-Election Preview: Fountainbridge and Craiglockhart (Edinburgh) 26th of June 2025
The sad passing of a Labour councillor sets the stage for a completely and utterly unpredictable by-election that any of the Holyrood parties could conceivably win.
By-Election Preview: Eilean a’ Cheò (Highland) 19th of June 2025
“The Isle of Mists” indeed: it’s hard to get a clear view of what might happen here, with all of the SNP, Lib Dems and Independents potentially in the running.
By-Election Preview: Cromarty Firth (Highland) 19th of June 2025
A relatively quick return to a ward that voted last year looks set to be a contest between the Lib Dems and two popular Independents to pick up the seat.
By-Election Result: Clydebank Waterfront
The SNP survive a big swing against them as Labour slump to third place behind surging Reform.