A second Killie by-election much harder for Labour to win than the first: if their swing there was replicated, the SNP would still win this one.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
Goodbye, Twitter: Your owner is truly vile
Elon Musk has turned Twitter into a cesspit. I’m not staying on there, and neither should you be.
Poll Analysis: Survation 7th – 13th of January 2025
Another dire poll for Labour suggests Anas Sarwar will struggle to make it into Bute House, whilst Reform continue to surge, and a rebuke to the idea of Alba suddenly gaining.
By-Election Preview: Kirkintilloch East, North and Twechar (East Dunbartonshire) 13th of February 2025
The last of our Councillor to MP by-elections, the Lib Dems are starting a quite distant third, but that hasn’t stopped them pulling off big wins before.
By-Election Preview: Bannockburn (Stirling) 23rd of January 2025
The sad passing of a Labour stalwart with 44 years experience leaves Labour at risk of being left with a credibility-stretching 4 (of 23) councillor administration.
By-Election Preview: Shetland North (Shetland) 23rd of January 2025
The resignation of an accidental and not entirely willing Labour councillor gives voters in Shetland North the option to vote after they didn’t get to do so in 2022.
By-Election Preview: Colinton and Fairmilehead (Edinburgh) 23rd of January 2025
A double by-election arises from some of the most outrageous(ly funny) circumstances, as November’s by-election winner quit the following week.
2024 in Review: Constitutional Polling
Another year, another slight Independence lead in Winter rooted more in what polls are in the average than a meaningful increase in support. Even as it slips down the agenda however, the constitutional question hasn’t gone away, and both sides have much to do to bring it to a conclusion.
2024 in Review: Parliamentary Polling
Another year of surprises saw Labour surge in July, only for that support to ebb away as Reform UK surge for the first time in Scotland and the SNP halt their decline.
2024 in Review: Council By-Elections
A bumper crop of by-elections across 2024 looks good on the surface for Labour, but emphasises the scale of challenge facing them in 2026, whilst Reform break onto the scene, and I ask if it’s time just to abolish by-elections entirely.