A bruising weak for the SNP continues with another poll where the Holyrood advantage goes clearly to Labour, whilst the constitutional question remains (to nobody’s surprise) stubbornly close.
Articles
By-Election Result: Rutherglen and Hamilton West
Labour absolutely romp home in a stunning victory that leaves the SNP badly bruised in the face of a massive majority and steep swing against them.
Poll Analysis (Lite): Opinium 4th -14th of September 2023
This is a lite analysis piece to ensure a poll with delayed publication at a time I’m very busy and about to take a break doesn’t fall off the BBS record entirely.
By-Election Preview: South Kintyre (Argyll and Bute) 2nd of November 2023
A very popular local Independent leaves the door wide open for the SNP, Conservatives, or perhaps even his daughter.
By-Election Result: Tain and Easter Ross
A Lib Dem vacancy in the historically Independent Highlands proved the perfect opportunity to add to the non-partisan bloc on the council.
By-Election Result: Girvan and South Carrick
The Conservatives score a big victory in a by-election without a strong Independent, meaning there’s more nuance to this one than the headline figures suggest.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 8th – 13th of September 2023
A surprising slide for Labour may have the SNP breathing a sigh of relief, but one poll does not a trend make, so stay tuned for further evidence.
By-Election Preview: Rutherglen and Hamilton West (UK Parliament) 5th of October 2023
The long saga of Rutherglen and Hamilton West finally draws to a close with a by-election that couldn’t come at a worse time for the SNP – or a better time for Labour.
By-Election Preview: Tain and Easter Ross (Highland) 28th of September 2023
The Lib Dems are given a clearer run at winning the seat vacated by one of their own councillors, as a popular Independent chooses not to attempt a return.
Poll Analysis: Survation 15th – 18th of August 2023
Labour’s best poll by every measure since the Independence referendum will be unwelcome reading for the SNP, whilst the Conservatives suffer their own mid-term blues as the pollster takes a flight of fancy with Reform UK.