2022 started uncomfortably for the Conservatives and has ended miserably for them, as Labour have firmly moved back into second place. The SNP meanwhile experience a mild but typical mid-term slump that nonetheless translates to a majority, whilst the Greens experience a record streak of polling and Lib Dems flirt with a minor recovery.
One final (hopefully) poll for 2022 bucks recent trends, giving a lead for the Union on the constitutional question and far less pain for the Conservatives than other pollsters.
This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.
A fourth poll in a row gives Independence a slender advantage, alongside a projected SNP majority and the worst Holyrood poll of the term so far for the Conservatives.
A dramatic poll suggest both the highest Independence support since last year’s Holyrood election, and enough support for the SNP to win a mooted “de facto referendum” Westminster election with a vote majority. Strong polling for Labour and the Greens contrasts with yet more evidence of Conservative collapse.
Out of a terrible trio of polls for the Conservatives, ComRes is the least bad, with only a slightly decrease versus the previous Holyrood poll. Nonetheless, Labour continue to make up ground, whilst the Constitution remains utterly immobile.
One of a trio of polls that all appeared at once, this shows the strongest figures for the SNP and weakest for the Conservatives, suggesting a Holyrood majority for the former and complete Westminster wipeout for the latter. Meanwhile, Scots continue to make the constitution dull as dishwater.
This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.
As is tradition, we wait for two weeks of intense, dramatic UK political events before we get any Scotland-only polls, and three come along at once. The first of these to finish fieldwork finds hands down the strongest Labour figures since before the 2015 General Election, and Greens tied on seats with the Conservatives.
Expect this to be the last analysis piece for a Panelbase/Sunday Times poll, unless and until the Sunday Times sort out their bizarre refusal to publicly report Holyrood figures.
