Ipsos

An absolute disaster of a poll for Labour, and the first to ever suggest the Greens could be the largest opposition party. Take that latter idea with a whole heap of salt, of course!

A modest Labour recovery still leaves them too far adrift of the SNP to make an impact. High Green shares also continue, but the constitutional question is notably uncertain.

A truly catastrophic poll for the Conservatives, and a perhaps overcooked record set of figures for the Greens, whilst the SNP’s constituency advantage continues to give them far more than their fare share.

Ipsos continue to show generally better figures for the SNP and Independence than other pollsters, but also follow the clear trend of a narrowing gap between the SNP and Labour contrasted with almost no movement on the constitution.

Ipsos continue to paint a slightly different picture to other pollsters, with higher support for the SNP leading to a continued SNP-Green majority at Holyrood, and a lead for Independence. The Lib Dems end up the big Holyrood gainers in this poll, whilst it’s bad news all round for the Conservatives.

True to their form, Ipsos give the most favourable SNP figures of anyone in the recent run of polling, and even suggest a lead for Independence. Although the headline figures are outliers, the direction of travel is the same: a sharp loss of SNP support.

A dramatic poll suggest both the highest Independence support since last year’s Holyrood election, and enough support for the SNP to win a mooted “de facto referendum” Westminster election with a vote majority. Strong polling for Labour and the Greens contrasts with yet more evidence of Conservative collapse.