A shockingly quiet period for polling despite the looming election is finally broken with a very much “as you were” feeling: the SNP on track to win, Labour and Reform scrapping for second, and possibly improved Greens.
Author: Ballot Box Scotland
SP26: Ballot Box Battlegrounds Bonus Round 2 (Wildcards + Central and Lothians West Region)
#48: Inverness and Nairn
#49: Edinburgh Northern
#56: Strathkelvin and Bearsden
#68: Glasgow Southside
#71: Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch
Plus Central Scotland and Lothians West region
SP26: Ballot Box Battlegrounds Bonus Round 1 (Near Marginals + Mid and Fife Region)
#17: Perthshire North
#18: Edinburgh Central
#21: Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse
#22: Rutherglen and Cambuslang
#26: Uddingston and Bellshill
Plus Mid Scotland and Fife Region
SP26: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 1-5 (+ West Region)
#5: Edinburgh Southern
#4: Dumbarton
#3: East Lothian Coast and Lammermuirs
#2: Banffshire and Buchan Coast
#1: Ayr
Plus West Scotland Region
SP26: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 6-10 (+ North East Region)
#10: Shetland Islands
#9: Eastwood
#8: Aberdeenshire East
#7: Perthshire South and Kinross-shire
#6: Aberdeen Deeside and North Kincardine
Plus North East Scotland Region
SP26: Ballot Box Battlegrounds 11-16 (+ South Region)
#16: Angus North and Mearns
#15: Dumfriesshire
#14: Aberdeenshire West
#13: Moray
#12: Galloway and West Dumfries
#11: Caithness, Sutherland and Ross
Plus South Scotland Region
Poll Analysis: Survation 20th – 25th of February 2026
The SNP remain out in front whilst Labour and Reform vie for second place, and Survation’s typically low Green streak continues.
SP26: Scotland’s right-wingers shouldn’t be dismissed or exaggerated
Scotland was for a long time assumed to be resolutely opposed to the right. Whilst Reform’s rise overturns those prior claims, some are overcorrecting their narratives, glossing over a lingering divergence.
Poll Analysis: Ipsos 19th – 25th of February 2026
A modest Labour recovery still leaves them too far adrift of the SNP to make an impact. High Green shares also continue, but the constitutional question is notably uncertain.
Poll Analysis: YouGov (Scoop) 11th – 18th of February 2026
The worst poll of the term for both Labour and the Conservatives puts them both behind the Greens, who sit at the upper end of their recent polling trend.