The Lib Dems won comfortably in 2022 and then embarrassingly easily in a by-election last year, so they surely have this one locked in.
By-elections
By-Election Result: Buckhaven, Methil and Wemyss Villages
Background Following hot on the heels of a Stirling by-election last week, we went a little … By-Election Result: Buckhaven, Methil and Wemyss VillagesRead more
By-Election Result: Stirling East (2025)
The SNP score an easy win in a ward they’d already beaten Labour in last year, giving them every seat in the ward and almost certainly control of the council.
By-Election Preview: Stranraer and the Rhins (Dumfries and Galloway) 20th of November 2025
The departure of an Independent with decades of service in an area the Conservatives have been falling to bits may open the door for Reform’s first Scottish victory.
By-Election Result: Ayr North
A local Independent managed to fence in his opponents to take the win, taking chunks out of all of the established parties, though a purely party affair would have narrowly went SNP.
By-Election Preview: Buckhaven, Methil and Wemyss Villages (Fife) 6th of November 2025
Another by-election in criminally grim conditions, Labour’s chances of beating the SNP may hinge on just how much transfer-unwilling Reform voters eat into their share.
By-Election Preview: Stirling East (Stirling) 30th of October 2025
As Labour are floundering and the SNP won a by-election here last year, the SNP seem likely favourites. A win would give them every councillor in the ward, and potentially flip the administration; real oddities of by-elections under STV.
By-Election Result: Caol and Mallaig (2025)
A ward that didn’t even get to vote in 2022 finally has a say over its current crop of councillors, picking a new Independent over one that had previously had a go.
By-Election Result: Tain and Easter Ross (2025)
A comfortable Lib Dem victory in an area they’re on the hunt for a Holyrood win bodes well for them, whilst Reform fully cannibalise the Conservatives.
By-Election Preview: Ayr North (South Ayrshire) 16th of October 2025
Easily the least Conservative part of a traditionally Conservative town is instead likely to come down to an SNP vs Labour scrap, slight advantage possibly to the SNP.