Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: YouGov 30th of September – 4th of October 2022

One of a trio of polls that all appeared at once, this shows the strongest figures for the SNP and weakest for the Conservatives, suggesting a Holyrood majority for the former and complete Westminster wipeout for the latter. Meanwhile, Scots continue to make the constitution dull as dishwater. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: Survation 28th – 29th of September 2022

As is tradition, we wait for two weeks of intense, dramatic UK political events before we get any Scotland-only polls, and three come along at once. The first of these to finish fieldwork finds hands down the strongest Labour figures since before the 2015 General Election, and Greens tied on seats with the Conservatives. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: ComRes 23rd – 28th of June 2022

As the First Minister fires (or, perhaps, misfires) the starting gun for a prospective second Independence referendum, polling finds the constitutional question remains firmly stuck on an almost even split. Labour meanwhile continue to cement their position as second most popular party ahead of beleaguered Conservatives. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: YouGov 18th – 23rd of May 2022

Slightly delayed coverage of a poll that continues to show positive figures for the SNP-Green government, whilst Labour cement their current second place against struggling Conservatives. The unsettled constitutional question begins to look more settled this time, with figures fitting to the 2014 status quo. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: ComRes 26th of April – 3rd of May 2022

On the eve of local elections, the Conservatives’ worst poll since last year’s Holyrood ballot doesn’t bode well for Douglas Ross. Labour show their strongest second place in recent months, whilst Greens return to a record high. The Lib Dems reach their highest list vote of the term, contrasting with the SNP’s lowest. […]

Polling and Projections

Poll Analysis: BMG 25th – 31st of March 2022

A third pollster in a row suggests Labour are more popular than the Conservatives, whilst finding the worst SNP figures yet since last year’s election. As has been the norm lately, the balance on the constitutional question continues to tilt in the Union’s favour. […]