The second poll by the same pollster in quick succession finds very little different on election VI – but gives the largest lead for the Union in eight months.
Polling and Projections
Poll Analysis: Survation 22nd of December 2022 – 1st of January 2023
The first poll of 2023 (okay, mostly 2022, but it ended this year…) finds very little change compared to the previous, though with enough of a small Conservative recovery to draw clearly back ahead of the Greens.
Poll Analysis: Savanta 16th – 21st of December 2022
One final (hopefully) poll for 2022 bucks recent trends, giving a lead for the Union on the constitutional question and far less pain for the Conservatives than other pollsters.
Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 12th – 16th of December 2022
This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 6th – 9th of December 2022
A fourth poll in a row gives Independence a slender advantage, alongside a projected SNP majority and the worst Holyrood poll of the term so far for the Conservatives.
Poll Analysis: Ipsos 28th of November – 5th of December 2022
A dramatic poll suggest both the highest Independence support since last year’s Holyrood election, and enough support for the SNP to win a mooted “de facto referendum” Westminster election with a vote majority. Strong polling for Labour and the Greens contrasts with yet more evidence of Conservative collapse.
Poll Analysis: ComRes 30th of September – 4th of October 2022
Out of a terrible trio of polls for the Conservatives, ComRes is the least bad, with only a slightly decrease versus the previous Holyrood poll. Nonetheless, Labour continue to make up ground, whilst the Constitution remains utterly immobile.
Poll Analysis: YouGov 30th of September – 4th of October 2022
One of a trio of polls that all appeared at once, this shows the strongest figures for the SNP and weakest for the Conservatives, suggesting a Holyrood majority for the former and complete Westminster wipeout for the latter. Meanwhile, Scots continue to make the constitution dull as dishwater.
Poll Analysis (Lite): Panelbase 7th – 11th of October 2022
This is a gap-filler “lite” piece, in line with Ballot Box Scotland’s non-coverage policy for polls where the commissioning outlet has not published standard Holyrood VI at the same time as other VI.
Poll Analysis: Survation 28th – 29th of September 2022
As is tradition, we wait for two weeks of intense, dramatic UK political events before we get any Scotland-only polls, and three come along at once. The first of these to finish fieldwork finds hands down the strongest Labour figures since before the 2015 General Election, and Greens tied on seats with the Conservatives.